It rarely is when there are opposing sides. Each one thinks the other the villain.

[Vlad had been through far too many wars to think there was ever an easy solution to being able to pick the 'right' side.]

Which leads me to wonder if this is the act of the sides in question, or another party trying to cause as much chaos as possible. As I said, Lady Mipha, there are too many questions here and I've no sure tract of where to gain the answers.